Table 7: Wheat flour Requirement and Availability: Various Estimates

Requirement for 1996a

7 * (18,000,00) * 0.95 * 12 = 1.4 million Metric Tonnes

Estimated availability as per cent of 1996 'Need'

1. 1995 wheat harvest 71

2. 1995 wheat + 20% barley supplement 88

3. 1995 wheat + barley harvest 122

4. 1995 wheat + 29% barley supplement 100

Sources: FAO (1995) for crop production and wastage ratios, authors' survey for grain requirement of the ration system.

a Total requirement is calculated as follows: per capita requirement per month = 7kg; estimated population in government-controlled areas = 18 million; estimated proportion of the population above the age of 1 year = 95%; number of months = 12.